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Data & Methodology

Every score starts with data. Every recommendation starts with a score.

OptiScore evaluates EV charging investment potential at two levels of detail — the surrounding market and the exact site — and combines them into a single, defensible verdict.

How OptiScore works

From neighborhood to exact address in three steps.

STEP 01

Tract-level scoring

We divide the country into census tracts — neighborhood-sized areas of 2,000–8,000 people. For each, we fuse demographics, EV adoption, existing infrastructure, highway access, employment, and housing into four composite indices. This answers: how good is this general area?

STEP 02

Site-specific adjustment

A tract can span several square miles. When a user searches an address, we refine the tract scores with micro-location data: proximity to the nearest highway ramp, nearby commercial activity, the residential character of the block group, and a live count of competing chargers within a half-mile.

STEP 03

The verdict

The adjusted sub-scores feed the Opportunity Score (0–100), synthesizing demand potential, competitive pressure, pricing power, and site attractiveness into a single investment signal. Higher is better.

The four indices

Each index is a composite computed for every market, then refined for the exact site. Our inputs are transparent; the model that combines them is proprietary.

Demand Potential

How much charging demand potential exists in this area.

EV registrations per capita — are drivers here already going electric?
Population density and growth — is the customer base large and expanding?
Commute patterns — do residents drive far enough to need public charging?
Housing type — renters and apartment dwellers can't charge at home, creating captive demand.
Corridor proximity — sites near ramps and rest areas capture travel-charging demand.

Market Pressure

Higher = more crowded

How saturated the existing charging market already is.

Stations per capita and per square mile — how dense is existing coverage?
Fast-charger share — are existing stations high-power (stronger competitors)?
Network diversity — are multiple charging networks already present?
Average charger power — higher-powered stations are harder to compete with.

Pricing Power

Whether the local market supports premium charging rates.

Median household income — wealthier areas tolerate higher prices.
EV adoption depth — established EV markets have less price sensitivity.
Captive charging need — renters without home charging are less price-elastic.
Competitive intensity — less competition means more pricing flexibility.

Gap Score

The net opportunity — demand potential minus supply.

Gap Score = Demand Potential − Market Pressure.
Positive gap = demand potential exceeds supply — opportunity for new entrants.
Negative gap = supply exceeds demand potential — the market is saturated.
The Opportunity Score weights Gap alongside Pricing Power and site quality for the final verdict.
Our data sources

Built on public, auditable data — no black boxes.

Every input comes from authoritative federal, state, and open-source datasets. Our model is proprietary; our inputs are transparent.

Federal government
State & regional — EV registrations
50 states + DC

Registration sources vary by jurisdiction. 33 states publish EV counts at ZIP, county, or finer granularity — pulled directly from state DMVs, Atlas EV Hub, and open-data portals. The remaining 18 report only a statewide total (via U.S. DOE AFDC); those are allocated to counties by income-weighted population until a finer source is published.

Official state sourceAtlas EV HubOther public sourceNational fallback (income-allocated)
Browse all 51 jurisdiction sourcesexpand ▾
ALAlabamaU.S. DOE AFDC · Vehicle Registration Counts by StateStateAKAlaskaAlaska Energy Authority · EV Adoption DataRegionAZArizonaU.S. DOE AFDC · Vehicle Registration Counts by StateStateARArkansasArkansas DOT · State Plan for EV Infrastructure DeploymentCountyCACaliforniaCalifornia DMV / CA Open Data · Vehicle Fuel Type Count by Zip CodeZIP codeCOColoradoAtlas EV Hub / Colorado DMV · CO EV RegistrationsZIP codeCTConnecticutAtlas EV Hub / Connecticut DMV · CT EV RegistrationsZIP codeDEDelawareU.S. DOE AFDC · Vehicle Registration Counts by StateStateDCDistrict of ColumbiaU.S. DOE AFDC · Vehicle Registration Counts by StateDistrictFLFloridaFL Highway Safety & Motor Vehicles · Electric and Hybrid Vehicles by CountyCountyGAGeorgiaGeorgia DOT · Georgia EV Infrastructure Deployment PlanStateHIHawaiiU.S. DOE AFDC · Vehicle Registration Counts by StateStateIDIdahoIdaho OEMR / ID Transportation Dept · National EV Infrastructure — Idaho 2024 Plan UpdateZIP codeILIllinoisIllinois Secretary of State · Electric Vehicle Counts by CountyZIP codeINIndianaIndiana Office of Energy Development · Indiana Vehicle Fuel DashboardCountyIAIowaU.S. DOE AFDC · Vehicle Registration Counts by StateStateKSKansasU.S. DOE AFDC · Vehicle Registration Counts by StateStateKYKentuckyKentucky Transportation Cabinet · Vehicle Counts by CountyCountyLALouisianaU.S. DOE AFDC · Vehicle Registration Counts by StateStateMEMaineAtlas EV Hub / Maine DMV · ME EV RegistrationsZIP codeMDMarylandMaryland Open Data / MDOT MVA · MDOT/MVA EV & PHEV Registrations by Zip CodeZIP codeMAMassachusettsMassDOT / GeoDOT · Vehicle CensusBlock groupMIMichiganSEMCOG / State of Michigan · MI EV Registration DataZIP codeMNMinnesotaAtlas EV Hub / Minnesota DVS · MN EV RegistrationsZIP codeMSMississippiU.S. DOE AFDC · Vehicle Registration Counts by StateStateMOMissouriMissouri Dept of Revenue · GRS Electric Vehicles by CountyCountyMTMontanaAtlas EV Hub / Montana MVD · MT EV RegistrationsCountyNENebraskaNebraska Dept of Transportation · State Plan for EV Infrastructure (2023 update)CountyNVNevadaU.S. DOE AFDC · Vehicle Registration Counts by StateStateNHNew HampshireU.S. DOE AFDC · Vehicle Registration Counts by StateStateNJNew JerseyAtlas EV Hub / New Jersey DEP · NJ EV RegistrationsZIP codeNMNew MexicoAtlas EV Hub / New Mexico MVD · NM EV RegistrationsZIP codeNYNew YorkAtlas EV Hub / New York DMV · NY EV RegistrationsZIP codeNCNorth CarolinaAtlas EV Hub / North Carolina DMV · NC EV RegistrationsZIP codeNDNorth DakotaNorth Dakota DOT · North Dakota EV PlanCountyOHOhioU.S. DOE OSTI / Ohio BMV · Individual Motorist Data — Ohio EV Ownership TrendsZIP codeOKOklahomaU.S. DOE AFDC · Vehicle Registration Counts by StateStateOROregonOregon Dept of Energy · Oregon Electric Vehicle DashboardCensus tractPAPennsylvaniaPennDOT · Electric Vehicle Registrations — Zip CodeZIP codeRIRhode IslandU.S. DOE AFDC · Vehicle Registration Counts by StateStateSCSouth CarolinaU.S. DOE AFDC · Vehicle Registration Counts by StateStateSDSouth DakotaU.S. DOE AFDC · Vehicle Registration Counts by StateStateTNTennesseeAtlas EV Hub / TN Dept of Revenue · TN EV RegistrationsCountyTXTexasAtlas EV Hub / Texas DMV · TX EV RegistrationsZIP codeUTUtahU.S. DOE AFDC · Vehicle Registration Counts by StateStateVTVermontAtlas EV Hub / Vermont DMV · VT EV RegistrationsZIP codeVAVirginiaAtlas EV Hub / Virginia DMV · VA EV RegistrationsCountyWAWashingtonWA Dept of Licensing / data.wa.gov · Electric Vehicle Population DataZIP codeWVWest VirginiaU.S. DOE AFDC · Vehicle Registration Counts by StateStateWIWisconsinWisconsin DOT · Wisconsin EV Infrastructure Plan — 2024 UpdateCountyWYWyomingU.S. DOE AFDC · Vehicle Registration Counts by StateState

Rigorous, reproducible, multi-granularity.

How to read a score

OptiScore measures relative opportunity — it ranks each market and site against its peers, so a 73 is a clearer bet than a 51 today. It's deliberately not a demand forecast: with EV adoption still early and charging behavior immature, we've found benchmarking more honest than projecting absolute numbers. That's why we speak of demand potential rather than predicted demand. As richer utilization data becomes available, we expect to layer in forecasting where the data supports it.

01

Multi-granularity scoring

We layer tract-level demographics with block-group residential patterns and block-level commercial activity, then add site-specific measures drawn from a radius around the exact address — nearby competing chargers, corridor proximity, and surrounding amenities. Together they distinguish a highway interchange from a quiet side street within the same tract.

02

Peer-group normalization

A suburban New Jersey tract isn't compared against downtown Manhattan. Every variable is normalized within its peer group, so scores reflect true local context — not geographic noise.

03

Public inputs, proprietary model

Every data source is publicly available and independently verifiable. Our value is in how we combine, weight, and adjust these inputs — not in access to secret data.

04

Continuous refresh

Data is refreshed as its underlying public sources are updated — we monitor them regularly and pull the latest as it's released. AFDC competitor-station data is refreshed frequently, and the station map reads from a live public feed.

See your market before you commit capital.

Now onboarding a limited group of early partners for pilot analyses and product feedback.

© 2026 OptiYield · EV Charging Market IntelligencePublic inputs · proprietary model · auditable by design